The Strategist
The Strategist

FAO forecasts record global grain harvest in 2025/26 crop year



09/08/2025 - 06:54



The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has increased its prediction for the worldwide grain yield in the 2025/26 crop year (July-June) to a historic 2,961 million tonnes. According to the FAO review, this is 35.6 million tonnes higher than the projection in July and 3.5% greater than the previous season.



Maurice Flesier
Maurice Flesier
The expected rise is attributed to better outlooks for the coarse grain crop. “The revised estimate indicates that global coarse grain output will hit 1 billion 601 million tonnes, representing an increase of 36.1 million tonnes since July and 88.6 million tonnes (5.9%) above the previous crop year,” the review states.

This change is primarily attributed to a notable rise in corn output in the United States. Furthermore, maize harvest projections increased in Brazil and Mexico, whereas the EU harvest estimates were reduced because of arid conditions.

The FAO projects worldwide wheat output to reach 804.9 million tonnes, marginally below the July estimate but increasing nearly 6.9 million tonnes from the previous year.

source: fao.org