The Strategist

US polls show Biden's overwhelming advantage over Trump

07/21/2020 - 08:20

The American presidential race is gradually losing its intrigue. According to the latest polls, Democratic candidate Joe Biden is more than 10% ahead of the second-term Republican President Donald Trump. The main complaint of voters against –†ead of the White House is the deplorable situation with the coronavirus in the country. The newcomer to the presidential race, rapper Kanye West, is unlikely to interfere with the two candidates: at the moment he can count on the votes of only about 2% of voters.

Gage Skidmore
Gage Skidmore
ABC News / The Washington Post poll show 15% advantage of the Democrat over the Republican among registered voters. This is not just a record figure, but a trend: already the fifth nationwide telephone (that is, considered the highest quality) poll in a row shows more than ten percent superiority of Mr. Biden.

Other polls also do not bode well for the current US president. According to the aggregator of all election polls RealClearPolitics, the level of support for Mr. Biden is 8.6% higher than that of Donald Trump. Everyone is already used to this figure, but it is worth recalling that in 2016, at the same stage of the electoral cycle, Hillary Clinton's advantage over Donald Trump was only 3%. The largest gap in that race was 8% and was short-lived, while Joe Biden's lead was sustainable.

According to the same polls, Mrs. Clinton could count on the support of 44% of voters, and Mr. Biden - on 49%, and this is the data for the totality of all polls: the already mentioned ABC News/The Washington Post study shows the level of support for Joe Biden at 54%. Recall, however, that in the United States it is about direct voting and not always the most popular candidate becomes President: the outcome of the race will depend on the outcome in the so-called wavering states.


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