US oil producers report beginning of the shale industry’s decline

Oil and gas firms in Texas, northern Louisiana, and southern New Mexico are experiencing decreased business activity, increasing expenses, and, on average, anticipate higher oil prices. A study by the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, which surveyed 93 exploration and production firms and 46 oilfield service contractors in mid-September, indicates that some anticipate the onset of the shale industry’s downturn.

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US oil producers report beginning of the shale industry’s decline © The Strategist

According to the survey, the bank observes a drop in business operations within the oil and gas industry during the third quarter, a reduction in oil output, and increasing negativity. Businesses indicate increasing expenses but relatively stable workforce requirements.

Respondents, on average, anticipate that the WTI crude oil price will hit $63 per barrel by the conclusion of 2025, in contrast to the existing price of $63.80 per barrel. Replies varied between $50 and $80 for each barrel. Nonetheless, participants anticipate that the cost of WTI oil will increase to $69 per barrel in two years and to $77 per barrel in five years.

Participants in the survey expect that the Henry Hub natural gas price will rise to $3.30 per MMBtu by the conclusion of 2025, increasing from the present $2.99 per MMBtu. In two years, the cost is anticipated to increase to $3.94 per MMBtu and to $4.50 per MMBtu in five years.

A majority of executives indicate that they have had to delay investment decisions because of heightened uncertainty regarding oil prices and/or production expenses: 42% of respondents experienced a slight postponement in investment choices, while 36% reported a considerable postponement.

source: reuters.com

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