ECB downgrades its estimate for eurozone GDP growth, raises inflation forecast



03/20/2026 1:51 AM


According to the European Central Bank's updated projection, the eurozone economy is set to expand by 0.9% in 2026, 1.3% in 2027, and 1.4% in 2028.



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In December, the ECB projected growth rates of 1.2%, 1.4%, and 1.4% respectively.

Consumer prices are projected to rise by 2.6% in 2026, a revision from the earlier estimate of 1.9%. The projection for 2027 was adjusted downward to 2% from 1.8%, and for 2028, to 2.1% from 2%.

Consumer prices minus energy and food (core inflation) are projected to rise by 2.3% in 2026 (up from an earlier estimate of 2.2%), by 2.2% in 2027 (previously 1.9%), and by 2.1% in 2028 (previously 2%).

The updated projections stem from increased energy costs linked to military operations in the Middle East and the effect of this conflict on commodity markets and real incomes.

source: ecb.europa.eu

 


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