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   <title>A hike in U.S interest rates is a distant possibility.</title>
   <updated>2015-07-31T05:01:00+02:00</updated>
   <id>https://www.thestrategist.media/A-hike-in-U-S-interest-rates-is-a-distant-possibility_a789.html</id>
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   <published>2015-07-31T04:52:00+02:00</published>
   <author><name>The Strategist</name></author>
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An analyses of the statements coming out of the Federal Reserve show that policy makers are worried about a downturn than inflation and if the momentum of the 2nd quarter results are maintained, a hike in interest rates is very much on the table.     <div style="position:relative; float:left; padding-right: 1ex;">
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      <div style="text-align: justify;">The Federal Reserve said announced that with the job market and burgeoning U.S economy continuing to strengthen a possible interest rate hike is likely to take place in September when the central bank’s policymakers are likely to meet. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  Having emerged from their two-day policy meeting, officials from the Federal Reserve said that the economy has crossed the hurdles of the first quarter; it is now "expanding moderately" despite headwinds from overseas and the downturn of the energy sector. The recent months, have been particularly impressive as the U.S economy had made "solid job gains". <br />  &nbsp; <br />  "On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggest that underutilization of labor resources has diminished since early this year," said a statement from the Federal Reserve that kept the key interest rates unchanged, for now. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  Those with a keen eye for details would have observed that small changes in the statement along with the language that has been used, marks a definite upgrade of the U.S economy in their eyes. The slack in the labor market, it said, had "diminished somewhat." <br />  &nbsp; <br />  However, the Federal Reserve has said, it needs to see some more definitive improvement in the labor market, to which analysts say are a pointer to continuing gains in the U.S job market. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  "They slightly lowered the hurdle for a rate hike by adding the word 'some' to their conditions required for further improvement in the labor market," opined Shyam Rajan, who heads the U.S. interest rate strategy at Bank of America, Merrill Lynch. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  Although the statements coming out of the Federal Reserve may have ramped up expectations, it however did not give a clear sign of its plans. Besides improvements in the labor market, the Federal Reserve also wanted to see progress made to keep inflationary pressures at check. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  Its statements saw the rise of U.S stocks as well as the strength of the dollar in comparison to other currencies. However, U.S treasury prices were unmoved. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  A careful analyses of the statement let out by the Federal Reserve will show economic risks are "nearly balanced," which suggests that it is more concerned about a possible downturn than inflationary pressures. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  "The Fed is taking baby steps towards a rate hike. Enough improvements have been made in the labor market that the Fed only needs a little more confirming evidence to say it is time," said the chief portfolio strategist at Wells Fargo Funds Management, Brian Jacobsen. <br />  <strong>Source:</strong><strong> Reuters.com</strong></div>  
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  <entry>
   <title>The Greenback is on a bull run against the Yen</title>
   <updated>2015-07-21T16:56:00+02:00</updated>
   <id>https://www.thestrategist.media/The-Greenback-is-on-a-bull-run-against-the-Yen_a754.html</id>
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   <published>2015-07-21T16:55:00+02:00</published>
   <author><name>The Strategist</name></author>
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Ever since the Federal Reserve suggested that it could up interest rates in September, the USD has seen great heights. Question is - will the bull run take it to its historic high?     <div style="position:relative; float:left; padding-right: 1ex;">
      <img src="https://www.thestrategist.media/photo/art/default/8048976-12536317.jpg?v=1437490602" alt="The Greenback is on a bull run against the Yen" title="The Greenback is on a bull run against the Yen" />
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      <div style="text-align: justify;">With an official of the Federal Reserve suggesting that U.S interest rates could go up, as early as September, the dollar got an additional boost and was seen hovering at levels which are its five-week high versus the yen. Overnight the dollar index scaled up to its three month high of 98.147. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  James Bullard, the St. Louis President of the Federal Reserve has told the Fox Business Network on 21<sup>st</sup> July 2015 that the Central Bank is likely to raise interests rates in September in view of climbing inflation and a dip in unemployment figures to levels below 5%. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  Hearing this news, short term, such as two-year bills, U.S treasury yields rose and shored up the greenback. The dollar stood steadily at 124.31 yen&nbsp;and was within striking distance of 124.39, which is its peak since June 17. Interestingly, the dollar this surge will take it a step closer to its historic high of 125.86, which it reached 13 years earlier. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  From its low of 120 yen, which was at the time of the start of the Greek financial crisis, the Greenback has seen a steep steady climb. This is again despite the near vertical fall of the Chinese stock market, which saw investments rush to safer heaven of the Japanese Yen. In spite of all of these hurdles, the dollar has steadily climbed, but touching its historic high of 125 is not going to be an easy task. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  "The approach to 125 yen takes dollar/yen into politically sensitive territory. Any big gains by the dollar just as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) talks are climaxing could stimulate those on both sides of the Pacific opposed to the negotiations, and the authorities would not want that," said Junichi Ishikawa, a market analyst at IG Securities in Tokyo. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  The TPP trade pact negotiations amongst the 12 nations will start on 28<sup>th</sup> July and will end on the 31<sup>st</sup> of the same month. These negotiations aimed at a broader agreement will cover a humongous trade pact covering nearly 40% of the world’s economy. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  The euro traded cautiously at at $1.0828&nbsp;against the dollar. Overnight, it has hit a 3 month trough of $1.0808 after slipping steadily since the arrival of the news that Greece will form part of the European Union. <br />  &nbsp; <br />  The New Zealand dollar has under-performed against the dollar but has got a new lease of life ever since its Prime Minister John Key gave it some breathing space by stating that the 25% slide was faster than expected. The forex market seems to have paused for thought hearing his comments. It rose by 0.2% to $0.6576&nbsp;after touching its historic low, seen in July 2009, of $0.6498 last week. <br />  <strong>References:</strong> <br />  <a class="link" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/21/us-markets-forex-idUSKCN0PV02H20150721"><strong>http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/21/us-markets-forex-idUSKCN0PV02H20150721</strong></a> </div>  
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